Belgrade School District #44 — MT

Bond: $60.5M · GO Bond · May 7, 2024 · Failed by 2,722 votes (4,202 No / 1,480 Yes — ~74% No) · NCES districts 3003290 (Belgrade Elem K-8) + 3003330 (Belgrade HS, separately authorized) Stated purpose: Build a 4th elementary school + middle school renovations; growth-driven capacity ask Contacts: Dede Frothingham, Superintendent · (406) 924-2000 · bsd44.org Sources: Montana Free Press · KBZK May 2024 results · Ballotpedia — Belgrade Elem

1. Snapshot

Belgrade is structurally unusual: Montana operates separate K-8 elementary districts and 9-12 high school districts as distinct legal entities. The “Belgrade School District #44” in the spreadsheet refers to the combined administrative unit. NCES tracks them separately:

This brief uses the Elementary district as anchor because the $60.5M bond was for a new elementary school. Per-pupil expenditure $18,697 (Elem) — high in absolute terms, but Montana’s small districts and local mill structure produce this number for most rural/small-town districts.

Geographic context: Belgrade is part of the Gallatin Valley growth corridor (Bozeman metro) — the fastest-growing region in Montana. Population pressure on schools is the explicit bond rationale.

2. Why this was a hard sell — community context (ACS)

ACS community profile not available for Belgrade Elem because the Census ACS School District tables only cover unified districts. This is a real data gap for the bond conversation — voters and the district had no easy population/income/home-value composite to anchor on.

What we can infer from adjacent geographies (Gallatin County): - Median household income ~$74K (county) - Median home value $464K (Bozeman MSA) — sharply higher than 5 years ago - Population growth ~3%/yr — among highest in MT - Newly arrived homeowners are paying inflated home prices and inheriting prior-resident bond cycles — that’s the tax-fatigue dynamic in growth regions

3. Peer comparison

Top peers identified via MCP (default weights + plantOps emphasis):

Peer district State Enrollment Per-pupil Plant ops/pp Note
Adel-DeSoto-Minburn IA 2,278 $17,730 $1,051 Town-Fringe, near-identical enrollment
St. Peter MN 2,107 $15,672 $1,039 Comparable peer
Lehighton Area SD PA 2,114 $18,299 $1,203 Higher plant ops investment
Cloquet MN 2,529 $15,974 $961 Town-Fringe peer
Talawanda City OH 2,875 $18,318 Similar town-fringe
Heard County GA 2,220 $19,018 Rural-distant
Brock ISD TX 2,169 $18,692 Rural-distant
3 redacted “Peer District” entries (MI × 2, IL) Likely FMX customers — outreach team to validate

4. The gap story (what the data would have shown voters)

Belgrade’s bond was a capacity ask, not a condition ask — and the data supports the capacity argument quietly:

5. Bond history (Ballotpedia + news)

Belgrade has now lost 3 consecutive funding asks at three different scales — and the district reports having passed only 2 abbreviated levies in the past 11 years (as of 2019). This is a community with a chronic funding-vs-need dispute, not a one-off failure.

6. What voters / opposition actually said

Notably, Bozeman (next door) passed its school levies the same day — same county, same growth pressure, same tax environment. The difference is not the community; it’s the campaign and the data.

7. What we could have told them

  1. “Belgrade Middle School expelled 45 students last year. Peer middle schools of our size expelled zero. That’s a building overwhelmed, not a behavior problem — a new elementary frees the middle school.” This is the single most powerful data point in the profile and the campaign never used it.
  2. “Bozeman just passed their levies. We are running the same growth math. The difference between yes and no isn’t the ask — it’s the building plan voters can see.” Direct peer comparison to a same-county success story.
  3. “This bond completes the project you already approved in 2019. We are not asking for more — we are asking for the rest.” Continuity framing.
  4. Counselor data: 1 counselor per 630 students; 1 per 978 at the middle school. New building lowers the ratio. National recommended is 1:250.
  5. Per-pupil instruction is the lowest among comparable peers. Honest framing: “We’re already running lean on instruction. Without new capacity, the per-pupil number gets worse, not better, because growth dilutes.”

8. FMX outreach hook

Belgrade is a strong but lower-urgency outreach candidate — they’re in a structural funding bind that no single facilities-data investment will solve. The natural angle is the next campaign, not the current operations question. Lead with Frothingham directly (Sup) given the small district size and the absence of a named CFO/operations lead in the spreadsheet. Opener: “Bozeman next door just passed their levies — they run their facilities portfolio in [comparable FMX customer]. We can give you a per-building cost-per-square-foot benchmark before your next ask, plus a side-by-side with Adel-DeSoto and the 3 redacted peers in MI/IL who track this same way. The middle-school expulsion number alone is your bond pitch — we just need to put the buildings behind it.” The Montana-specific peer pool may be thin; the broader Town-Fringe small-town segment is where the proof points live.